2021-03-31
Q1 2021 gross returns: 6.1%, or $189.2k (+13.0% YoY, annualized). I'm changing how I'm looking at this, slightly. I've tried to simplify the calculation by just comparing our returned cash net (on private deals) + the excess value (on eTrade, including realized and unrealized gains) to our average capital used. Basically, our profit should be the excess gains we've received minus our expenses. Not only does this give a more accurate picture of profits, but it also gives a better sense of how much money we have out there at risk in any given period. Our exposure has gradually increased over time, as we reinvest gains, or at least park them in eTrade. In total, we've gained 42.2% on the average amount of exposure we have in any period. This should be compared to the 49.6% (13.9% annualized) we've gained against the total capital of Nakano, ex-expenses.
Interestingly, we've returned approx. 67.0% ($684.8k/$1,022.5k) on average capital on private deals vs. 61.8% ($630.5k/$1,019.4k) on public sector investments. This should come as no surprise since 1) there has been a huge run-up in the stock market, and 2) most of our private investments have not paid out yet.
Consolidated cash, quarterly
Balances by account
2021 spend by line item (consolidated)
Q1 2021 expenses: $4.1k (-30.9% YoY annualized). This is mostly meaningless at this stage, since there are seasonal items which will boost this run-rate later in the year (accountant's fees, various subscriptions, city taxes, etc.). Our rent is slightly up, incidentally, to $1,278 per month from $1,250. This is just the normal inflation that is baked into our contract.
no data
Private deals done: None. We've committed to a $50k investment in The Assembly Authority, which is a purchase of a white-glove equipment installation company sponsored by Blue Jay Capital, but funding was delayed until April. It will be accounted for in Q2.
| Deal | First funding | Invested | Cash received | Remaining value | MOIC | Outperformance case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakano Investments LLC | ||||||
| ValFund | Jun 2017 | $470,656 | $642,987 | $0 | 1.00× | — |
| Northfield Residential real-estate development (Principal: Patrick Zalupski) | Aug 2020 | $250,000 | — | $250,000 | 1.00× | — |
| ScreenMeet Cloud-native remote support SaaS (Principal: Ben Lilienthal) | Jun 2021 | $199,999 | — | $199,999 | 1.00× | — |
| Smartemis Veterinary services — France, Germany (Principal: Bill Hughson) | Mar 2022 | $185,490 | — | $185,490 | 1.00× | — |
| NextAlim | May 2021 | $57,561 | — | $57,561 | 1.00× | — |
| Nakano subtotal | $1,163,706 | $642,987 | $693,050 | 1.00× | ||
| Consolidated | $1,163,706 | $642,987 | $693,050 | 1.00× | ||
Invested (light) vs total value — paler segment is cash already returned
All public securities are held at Nakano Investments (eTrade and Interactive Brokers). Centerpitch holds no public positions.
Daily marks — securities value by account
Performance vs indexes (time-weighted)
| Cumulative | CAGR | 2021 YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | +18.4% | +9.5% | +11.2% |
| Blended benchmark | +38.8% | +19.3% | +6.4% |
| S&P 500 | +45.3% | +22.3% | +6.4% |
| MSCI ACWI | +38.6% | +19.3% | +4.9% |
| Japan (EWJ) | +31.7% | +16.0% | +1.4% |
| Europe (VGK) | +25.0% | +12.8% | +5.0% |
Time-weighted: daily returns of the securities book chained with buys/sells neutralized as external flows; dividends and option premiums count as return. Base 100 on 2019-05-24. The blended benchmark applies the portfolio's own daily bucket weights to matching index returns (US equities→SPY, Japan equities→EWJ, Europe equities→VGK, China equities→MCHI, US bonds/bills→BIL, Crypto→ETH-USD; dividend-adjusted USD ETFs). Current mix: US equities 100%. T-bill discounts recognize at purchase; delisted names (ALRN, LUMO) excluded.
Open positions
| Ticker | Qty | Cost basis | Last price (local) | MTM (USD) | Gain | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| eTrade | ||||||
| BABA | 2,100 | $541,389 | $226.73 | $476,133 | -12.1% | 18.5% |
| ABBV | 4,000 | $381,928 | $108.22 | $432,880 | +13.3% | 16.8% |
| SCHO | 7,115 | $366,548 | $51.31 | $365,071 | -0.4% | 14.2% |
| JNJ | 1,400 | $208,747 | $164.35 | $230,090 | +10.2% | 9.0% |
| GLD | 1,300 | $211,826 | $159.96 | $207,948 | -1.8% | 8.1% |
| CVS | 1,750 | $110,292 | $75.23 | $131,652 | +19.4% | 5.1% |
| NEE NextEra Energy | 1,500 | $117,981 | $75.61 | $113,415 | -3.9% | 4.4% |
| FMC | 800 | $87,812 | $110.61 | $88,488 | +0.8% | 3.4% |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group | 250 | $68,594 | $327.00 | $81,750 | +19.2% | 3.2% |
| SLRC | 4,500 | $75,154 | $17.76 | $79,920 | +6.3% | 3.1% |
| SPSB | 2,500 | $78,108 | $31.31 | $78,275 | +0.2% | 3.0% |
| BAC | 2,000 | $51,388 | $38.69 | $77,380 | +50.6% | 3.0% |
| MO | 1,000 | $46,921 | $51.16 | $51,160 | +9.0% | 2.0% |
| IAU | 1,000 | $16,235 | $32.52 | $32,520 | +100.3% | 1.3% |
| SEDG | 100 | $23,773 | $287.44 | $28,744 | +20.9% | 1.1% |
| IVOL | 1,000 | $28,675 | $28.58 | $28,580 | -0.3% | 1.1% |
| IGSB | 500 | $27,491 | $54.68 | $27,340 | -0.5% | 1.1% |
| GOOG Alphabet (Class C) | 205 | $311,685 | $103.43 | $21,203 | -93.2% | 0.8% |
| AAAU | 1,000 | $16,948 | $16.95 | $16,948 | +0.0% | 0.7% |
| eTrade subtotal | $2,771,494 | $2,569,498 | ||||
Realized results by year
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Realized G/L | $33k | $169k | $172k | $374k |
| Dividends | $10k | $23k | $10k | $43k |
Consolidated
| Line item | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Rent | 4,170 | 14,778 | 15,065 | 15,391 | 15,855 | 16,638 | 14,641 | 16,061 | 7,327 | 119,925 | ||
| Office Furniture | 4,329 | 2,941 | 3,400 | 10,670 | ||||||||
| Office Supplies | 0 | |||||||||||
| Office-Related Expenses | 4,170 | 14,778 | 15,065 | 19,721 | 18,795 | 20,038 | 14,641 | 16,061 | 7,327 | 130,595 | ||
| Webpage Email | 393 | 480 | 578 | 180 | 354 | 192 | 522 | 728 | 2,345 | 1,525 | 7,295 | |
| Subscriptions | 1 | 3,097 | 819 | 1,589 | 439 | 5,945 | ||||||
| Video Meeting Services | 158 | 167 | 148 | 154 | 161 | 173 | 184 | 1,145 | ||||
| Business Applications | 249 | 249 | 441 | 383 | 120 | 1,442 | ||||||
| Other Business Services | 22 | 52 | 402 | 149 | 625 | |||||||
| Operational Expenses | 393 | 501 | 578 | 338 | 770 | 643 | 4,214 | 2,090 | 4,629 | 2,297 | 16,452 | |
| Client Entertainment | 8,044 | 8,970 | 2,015 | 2,488 | 21,517 | |||||||
| Internal Events | 4,506 | 3,105 | 860 | 8,471 | ||||||||
| Business Travel | 1,157 | 5,438 | 6,595 | |||||||||
| Client Expenses | 13,707 | 17,514 | 2,015 | 3,348 | 36,584 | |||||||
| Legal Fees | 2,376 | 839 | 1,459 | 164 | 278 | 5,115 | ||||||
| Accountant Fees | 2,890 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 1,600 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 3,850 | 22,640 | ||
| State/City Fees | 75 | 169 | 319 | 278 | 282 | 1,122 | ||||||
| Bank Service Fees | 295 | 110 | 175 | 382 | 611 | 51 | 234 | 110 | 1,866 | |||
| Wire Fees | 225 | 240 | 290 | 100 | 60 | 65 | 425 | 50 | 1,455 | |||
| Foreign Currency Charges | 2 | 0 | 3 | 237 | 0 | 2 | 244 | |||||
| Advisory and Fees | 225 | 5,581 | 3,224 | 4,338 | 2,737 | 2,529 | 3,114 | 3,388 | 3,012 | 4,294 | 32,443 | |
| Other Expenses | 2,881 | 1,400 | 99 | 1,580 | ||||||||
| Error | 706 | 1,139 | 1,316 | 681 | 643 | 844 | ||||||
| Miscellaneous | 2,175 | 261 | 1,316 | 780 | 643 | 736 | ||||||
| Creditcard | 4,755 | 2,395 | 8,102 | 4,015 | 6,120 | 14,340 | 8,441 | 2,127 | 1,099 | 12 | 51,382 | |
| Total Expenses | 5,373 | 12,647 | 28,856 | 23,494 | 28,031 | 36,308 | 50,295 | 39,759 | 26,173 | 17,254 | 268,191 |
Nakano
| Line item | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Rent | 4,170 | 14,778 | 15,065 | 15,391 | 15,855 | 6,374 | 71,633 | |||||
| Office Furniture | 4,329 | 2,941 | 3,400 | 10,670 | ||||||||
| Office Supplies | 0 | |||||||||||
| Office-Related Expenses | 4,170 | 14,778 | 15,065 | 19,721 | 18,795 | 9,774 | 82,303 | |||||
| Webpage Email | 393 | 480 | 578 | 180 | 354 | 192 | 522 | 678 | 2,345 | 1,525 | 7,246 | |
| Subscriptions | 1 | 402 | 393 | 873 | 54 | 1,723 | ||||||
| Video Meeting Services | 158 | 167 | 148 | 154 | 161 | 173 | 184 | 1,145 | ||||
| Business Applications | 249 | 249 | 336 | 278 | 120 | 1,232 | ||||||
| Other Business Services | 22 | 52 | 74 | |||||||||
| Operational Expenses | 393 | 501 | 578 | 338 | 770 | 643 | 1,414 | 1,510 | 3,511 | 1,763 | 11,419 | |
| Client Entertainment | 3,323 | 3,323 | ||||||||||
| Internal Events | 2,525 | 422 | 2,946 | |||||||||
| Business Travel | 3,322 | 3,322 | ||||||||||
| Client Expenses | 799 | 3,743 | 2,944 | |||||||||
| Legal Fees | 2,376 | 839 | 1,459 | 164 | 139 | 4,976 | ||||||
| Accountant Fees | 2,890 | 1,800 | 2,500 | 2,500 | 1,600 | 2,500 | 13,790 | |||||
| State/City Fees | 75 | 169 | 319 | 144 | 706 | |||||||
| Bank Service Fees | 295 | 110 | 175 | 382 | 580 | 180 | 234 | 110 | 1,706 | |||
| Wire Fees | 225 | 240 | 290 | 100 | 60 | 65 | 980 | |||||
| Foreign Currency Charges | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 28 | |||||
| Advisory and Fees | 225 | 5,581 | 3,224 | 4,338 | 2,737 | 2,529 | 3,083 | 20 | 234 | 255 | 22,187 | |
| Other Expenses | 2,881 | 1,400 | 1,481 | |||||||||
| Error | 706 | 1,139 | 1,316 | 213 | 1,096 | |||||||
| Miscellaneous | 2,175 | 261 | 1,316 | 213 | 384 | |||||||
| Creditcard | 4,755 | 2,395 | 8,102 | 4,015 | 6,120 | 14,340 | 8,441 | 2,127 | 1,099 | 12 | 51,382 | |
| Total Expenses | 5,373 | 12,647 | 28,856 | 23,494 | 28,031 | 36,308 | 21,914 | 7,359 | 4,631 | 2,006 | 170,620 |
Centerpitch
| Line item | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Rent | 10,264 | 14,641 | 16,061 | 7,327 | 48,292 | |||||||
| Office Furniture | 0 | |||||||||||
| Office Supplies | 0 | |||||||||||
| Office-Related Expenses | 10,264 | 14,641 | 16,061 | 7,327 | 48,292 | |||||||
| Webpage Email | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||
| Subscriptions | 2,695 | 426 | 716 | 385 | 4,222 | |||||||
| Video Meeting Services | 0 | |||||||||||
| Business Applications | 105 | 105 | 210 | |||||||||
| Other Business Services | 402 | 149 | 551 | |||||||||
| Operational Expenses | 2,800 | 580 | 1,118 | 534 | 5,032 | |||||||
| Client Entertainment | 11,368 | 8,970 | 2,015 | 2,488 | 24,841 | |||||||
| Internal Events | 1,982 | 2,684 | 860 | 5,525 | ||||||||
| Business Travel | 1,157 | 2,117 | 3,274 | |||||||||
| Client Expenses | 14,506 | 13,771 | 2,015 | 3,348 | 33,640 | |||||||
| Legal Fees | 139 | 139 | ||||||||||
| Accountant Fees | 2,500 | 2,500 | 3,850 | 8,850 | ||||||||
| State/City Fees | 278 | 139 | 416 | |||||||||
| Bank Service Fees | 31 | 129 | 160 | |||||||||
| Wire Fees | 425 | 50 | 475 | |||||||||
| Foreign Currency Charges | 216 | 216 | ||||||||||
| Advisory and Fees | 31 | 3,408 | 2,778 | 4,039 | 10,256 | |||||||
| Other Expenses | 99 | 99 | ||||||||||
| Error | 681 | 429 | 252 | |||||||||
| Miscellaneous | 780 | 429 | 351 | |||||||||
| Creditcard | 0 | |||||||||||
| Total Expenses | 28,381 | 32,400 | 21,542 | 15,247 | 97,571 |